Expert political judgement: Tetlock, Philip E. how good is it? how can we know?/
Material type: TextPublication details: New Jersy: Princeton University Press, 2005Description: 321pISBN: 9780691123028Subject(s): Psychologie politique | Décision politiqueDDC classification: 320.019Item type | Current library | Call number | Status | Date due | Barcode | Item holds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
General Books | Central Library, Sikkim University (Yangang Campus) General Book Section | 320.019 TET/E (Browse shelf(Opens below)) | Available | P13003 |
Contents;
Acknowledgments;
Preface;
Chapter 1: Quantifying the Unquantifiable;
Chapter 2: The Ego-deflating Challenge of Radical Skepticism;
Chapter 3: Knowing the Limits of One's Knowledge: Foxes Have Better Calibration and Discrimination Scores than Hedgehogs;
Chapter 4: Honoring Reputational Bets: Foxes Are Better Bayesians than Hedgehogs;
Chapter 5: Contemplating Counterfactuals: Foxes Are More Willing than Hedgehogs to Entertain Self-subversive Scenarios;
Chapter 6: The Hedgehogs Strike Back;
Chapter 7: Are We Open-minded Enough to Acknowledge the Limits of Open-mindedness?
Chapter 8: Exploring the Limits on Objectivity and Accountability
Methodological Appendix;
Technical Appendix:
Phillip Rescober and Philip E. Tetlock;
Index.
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