000 | 00408nam a2200133Ia 4500 | ||
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999 |
_c186434 _d186434 |
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020 | _a9780691136547 | ||
040 | _cCUS | ||
082 |
_a363.73874 _bARC/ |
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100 | _aArcher, David. | ||
245 | 4 |
_aThe long thaw: how humans are changing the next 100,000 years of earth`s climate/ _cDavid Archer |
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260 |
_aPrinceton: _bPrinceton Universities Press, _c2009. |
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300 |
_axi, 180 p. : _bill., maps ; _c22 cm. |
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505 | _aSECTION I: THE PRESENT Chapter 1. The Greenhouse Effect Fourier and greenhouse theory Early CO2 measurements Arrhenius and the forecast. Climate science since then. Chapter 2: We've Seen It with Our Own Eyes. Testing the forecast Impacts already. Chapter 3: Forecast of the Century. A century-timescale climate spike Temperature, rainfall, sea level, and storms SECTION II: THE PAST Chapter 4: Millennial Climate Cycles. Abrupt climate transitions, and climate cycles on millennial timescales. The Little Ice Age and the Medieval Optimum climates Chapter 5: Glacial Climate Cycles History of their discovery Ice flows and melts in quirky ways. Orbital forcing and CO2 forcing Chapter 6: Geologic Climate Cycles. Our ice age is unusual. The Earth is breathing. Chapter 7: The Present in the Bosom of the Past. Climate change so far and in the coming century, compared with deglaciation, abrupt climate change, the Eocene hothouse, the Paleocene/Eocene thermal maximum event, and the K/T boundary. SECTION III: THE FUTURE Chapter 8: The Fate of Fossil Fuel CO2 Reservoirs of carbon, breathing New carbon from fossil fuels equilibrates with the ocean and the land. Chapter 9: Acidifying the Ocean. CO2 is an acid CaCO3 is a base. Neutralization takes millennia. CO2 remains higher than natural for hundreds of millennia Chapter 10: Carbon Cycle Feedbacks. The short-term prognosis. The long-term prognosis. Chapter 11: Sea Level in the Deep Future. If the past is the key to the future, we have the capacity to raise sea level by 50 meters, eventually. Chapter 12: Orbits, CO2 , and the Next Ice Age. Interplay between orbital and CO2 climate forcings. The next ice age is about to be canceled. Epilogue: Carbon Economics and Ethics. What the options are and how we decide. | ||
650 | _aClimatic changes--Effect of human beings on | ||
650 | _aClimatic changes--Forecasting | ||
650 | _aGlobal warming | ||
650 | _aGlobal warming--Social aspects | ||
650 | _aPaleoclimatology | ||
942 | _cWB16 |