TY - BOOK AU - Frydman, Roman. AU - Goldberg, Michael D. AU - Phelps, Edmund S. TI - Imperfect knowledge economics: exchange rates and risk SN - 9780691121604 U1 - 330 PY - 2007/// CY - New Jersey PB - Princeton University Press KW - Macroeconomics KW - Rational expectations (Economic theory) KW - Equilibrium (Economics) KW - Foreign exchange N1 - pt. I. From early modern economics to imperfect knowledge economics. Recognizing the limits of economists' knowledge ; A tradition interrupted ; Flawed foundations : the gross irrationality of 'rational expectations' and behavioral models ; Reconsidering modern economics ; Imperfect knowledge economics of supply and demand. -- pt. II. ' Anomalies' in contemporary models of currency markets. The overreach of contemporary models of asset markets ; The 'puzzling' behavior of exchange rates : lost fundamentals and long swings ; 'Anomalous' returns of foreign exchange : is it really irrationality?. -- pt. III. Imperfect knowledge economics of exchange rates and risk. Modelling preferences in asset markets : experimental evidence and imperfect knowledge ; Modeling individual forecasting strategies and their revisions ; Bulls and bears in equilibrium : uncertainty-adjusted uncovered interest parity ; IKE of the premium on foreign exchange : theory and evidence ; The forward discount 'anomaly' : the peril of fully prescpecifying market efficiency ; Imperfect knowledge and long swings in the exchange rate ; Exchange rates and macroeconomic fundamentals : abandoning the search for a fully predetermined relationship ER -